Birdwatch Note
2024-10-16 07:20:27 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
Important context: Polymarket bets are not resolved on the basis of the election results. Instead they are resolved by a mechanism called UMA Optimistic Oracle https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/polymarket-+-uma https://docs.polymarket.com/#resolution The sharp divergence between Polymarket and polls can be explained by an expectation that UMA-OO can be manipulated
Written by B91956B72063A58746EC9F0D7331721744E748212EFF120C4CC8F7A0055EBF65
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1846219853675233422
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1846451121109319890
- noteId - 1846451121109319890
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - B91956B72063A58746EC9F0D7331721744E748212EFF120C4CC8F7A0055EBF65 Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1729063227332
- tweetId - 1846219853675233422
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- Important context: Polymarket bets are not resolved on the basis of the election results. Instead they are resolved by a mechanism called UMA Optimistic Oracle https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/polymarket-+-uma https://docs.polymarket.com/#resolution The sharp divergence between Polymarket and polls can be explained by an expectation that UMA-OO can be manipulated
Note Ratings
| rated at | rated by | |
| 2024-10-17 21:11:12 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 21:46:45 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 20:52:10 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 17:04:23 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 15:32:14 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 13:52:39 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 09:41:33 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 09:14:08 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:55:31 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:45:23 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 07:28:41 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 07:25:30 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 07:00:27 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 06:44:29 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 06:10:10 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 02:53:05 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 11:58:34 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 06:51:46 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 04:51:08 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 02:43:41 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 16:18:59 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 14:59:07 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 14:28:43 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 14:13:00 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 09:41:24 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:06:18 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 06:15:26 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 05:22:48 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 04:26:25 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 03:59:21 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 03:34:02 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 02:25:13 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 10:26:57 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 10:13:00 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 09:45:13 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 09:21:22 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 08:04:26 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 06:33:23 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 01:37:41 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 21:49:09 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 15:47:49 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 15:41:23 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 14:03:34 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 11:42:17 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 10:58:11 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 10:47:55 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 10:04:16 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 06:04:50 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 05:21:24 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 04:42:10 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-30 13:53:08 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 06:03:14 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 03:27:35 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 20:13:36 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 17:47:49 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 16:44:34 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 14:17:30 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 13:54:13 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 11:21:14 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 10:50:22 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 10:47:57 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:26:38 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:19:20 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:08:06 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 07:52:38 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 07:44:56 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 06:18:32 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 03:11:30 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-21 19:43:15 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-18 05:39:43 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 08:26:44 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-17 07:55:24 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 22:50:02 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 20:20:18 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 17:17:03 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 16:54:47 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 13:33:05 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 12:40:24 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 11:42:28 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 11:33:58 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 10:12:46 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 10:10:26 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 09:48:26 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:20:30 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:12:02 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 08:04:06 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 07:59:05 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 07:34:38 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 07:07:56 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 06:08:35 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 06:01:30 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 04:52:16 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2024-10-16 04:17:51 -0500 | Rating Details |