Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-16 22:47:49 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: A31C1FCFCC99A55ADB663EAE9310405F4B9E755FFB93AAA4338132F56C6B519E
Participant Details
Original Note:
Important context: Polymarket bets are not resolved on the basis of the election results. Instead they are resolved by a mechanism called UMA Optimistic Oracle https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/polymarket-+-uma https://docs.polymarket.com/#resolution The sharp divergence between Polymarket and polls can be explained by an expectation that UMA-OO can be manipulated
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