Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-07 21:04:31 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: E61D642E15BDFED2BD4D21DCF87D9DED7AC345F7CD40EFB5D9E0D448C23FC6A2
Participant Details
Original Note:
As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true
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