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2024-10-08 07:21:10 UTC - HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: D832EF7A7674297857ABB99AD479487F23BBAE1BCE13DFE63117B3A03377C81A
Participant Details

Original Note:

As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true

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Original Tweet

All Information

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