Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-07 22:03:31 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: B0F6CCCD1451E856292F2E3AA1B2122D539011BA84560269602679AA55208E1E
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Original Note:
As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true
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