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2024-10-07 23:48:04 UTC - HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: A27788EE3C54B343FA8A83DE99DA2CD0645E08406CB4BE2B0373B3D3A461127B
Participant Details

Original Note:

As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true

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All Information

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