Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-08 21:45:00 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 9F60A0C95878954696DB477C1CB547D681350E88A1F807E194B09CD3EC7B2B81
Participant Details
Original Note:
As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true
All Note Details