Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-07 19:38:22 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 9F564D11B54452FDA2E74C226A3D3E5075C345D622FF8CB47F9FEFEC28264DBD
Participant Details
Original Note:
As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true
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