Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-10-07 23:48:09 UTC - SOMEWHAT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 56FA7B0DD32F4FCB77CECF246D9C836C2D1A4A3D70A775FAA67A9E63FB0F0D16
Participant Details

Original Note:

As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true

All Note Details

Original Tweet

All Information

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