Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-08 01:15:37 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 3238A7AA1ABB4EA17BD997D4E30A69B464113A1A852E1F9891F5C28421F2DC11
Participant Details
Original Note:
As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true
All Note Details