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2024-10-08 04:46:04 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 16E45B1B1F8725EC6FFD9AD4B6399DEC761ED8C7797ED076C06D50A31E452044
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Original Note:

As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true

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