Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-08-05 00:16:31 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 1E31A64E5484BF3FCC41E951A26E0872B04D6F125E90C2C9181A0E92DB0009BA
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Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. it is not representative of the U.S. population Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump within 2 percentage points of each other. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-leads-trump-44-42-us-presidential-race-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-07-23/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-24/trump-harris-2024-election-polymarket-handles-soaring-bet-volumes?embedded-checkout=truehttps://daily.jstor.org/how-accurate-are-prediction-markets/
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