Birdwatch Note
2024-08-05 00:00:26 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. it is not representative of the U.S. population Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump within 2 percentage points of each other. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-leads-trump-44-42-us-presidential-race-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-07-23/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-24/trump-harris-2024-election-polymarket-handles-soaring-bet-volumes?embedded-checkout=truehttps://daily.jstor.org/how-accurate-are-prediction-markets/
Written by 2A6B630D0AEA2ACC36E2189A989B042C8F44788D5C6526EF4EAC8856A79A73D8
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1820200988256374983
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1820248463105228910
- noteId - 1820248463105228910
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 2A6B630D0AEA2ACC36E2189A989B042C8F44788D5C6526EF4EAC8856A79A73D8
- createdAtMillis - 1722816026841
- tweetId - 1820200988256374983
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. it is not representative of the U.S. population Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump within 2 percentage points of each other. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-leads-trump-44-42-us-presidential-race-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-07-23/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-24/trump-harris-2024-election-polymarket-handles-soaring-bet-volumes?embedded-checkout=truehttps://daily.jstor.org/how-accurate-are-prediction-markets/
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