Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-04 17:50:35 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 0CD349BD32665CDC698A79D79E65A43B9CD45A48D6BB36937E3D01EF74AB5E89
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Original Note:
There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts like this perform no better than random when scientifically tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 Prediction claims are common online scams: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy
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