Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2024-05-04 17:30:24 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts like this perform no better than random when scientifically tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 Prediction claims are common online scams: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy

Written by 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C
Participant Details

All Information

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• noteAuthorParticipantId - 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C Participant Details
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• classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
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• summary
• There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Earthquakes are always possible in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts like this perform no better than random when scientifically tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 Prediction claims are common online scams: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies https://www.inverse.com/science/earthquake-prediction-dutchsinse-holmquist-conspiracy