Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2023-10-30 04:00:26 UTC - HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 9FFC7719E71FB927DFC2E0B4CD162716EA81C0CE98152EB4B5CA090D43BB785B
Participant Details

Original Note:

バヌアツで起きた地震の影響を受けて日本で地震が起きるというのはネット上の単なる都市伝説に過ぎず，実際には何ら関係がないことは分かっています． https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin/76/0/76_2022-17/_article/-char/ja （会員ログインが必要） 日本周辺ではM6-7の地震は3週間に1度程度の頻度で発生します．M6.0より若干小さめの地震まで含めれば更に頻度は高くなるため，2週間以内にM6程度というのは全くのデタラメでも確率的に当たりやすくするトリックです． https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9

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All Information

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