Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-10-29 22:50:26 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

バヌアツで起きた地震の影響を受けて日本で地震が起きるというのはネット上の単なる都市伝説に過ぎず,実際には何ら関係がないことは分かっています. https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin/76/0/76_2022-17/_article/-char/ja (会員ログインが必要) 日本周辺ではM6-7の地震は3週間に1度程度の頻度で発生します.M6.0より若干小さめの地震まで含めれば更に頻度は高くなるため,2週間以内にM6程度というのは全くのデタラメでも確率的に当たりやすくするトリックです. https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9

Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
Participant Details

Original Tweet

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All Information

  • ID - 1718762244123804013
  • noteId - 1718762244123804013
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1698619826713
  • tweetId - 1718508503332270490
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 0
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • バヌアツで起きた地震の影響を受けて日本で地震が起きるというのはネット上の単なる都市伝説に過ぎず,実際には何ら関係がないことは分かっています. https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin/76/0/76_2022-17/_article/-char/ja (会員ログインが必要) 日本周辺ではM6-7の地震は3週間に1度程度の頻度で発生します.M6.0より若干小さめの地震まで含めれば更に頻度は高くなるため,2週間以内にM6程度というのは全くのデタラメでも確率的に当たりやすくするトリックです. https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq7.html#9

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-10-29 22:50:26 UTC
(1698619826713)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-10-30 02:46:32 UTC
(1698633992867)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

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