Birdwatch Note Rating
2023-03-14 16:21:55 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 8641D29E5311B90909BEC79708DA9AE9A84994B107C41709D10FF0973EBFE129
Participant Details
Original Note:
There are decades of research demonstrating that earthquake predictions perform no better than background probabilities. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article/89/2A/577/525827/Do-Large-Magnitude-8-Global-Earthquakes-Occur-on https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat Seismologists have posted results, data, and code testing these claims specifically and found they do not surpass background probabilities: https://twitter.com/bwcphd/status/1633897308499902464 https://twitter.com/PierreSeismo/status/1634593771731189760
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