Birdwatch Note
2024-06-17 01:55:52 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
複数の事実誤認があります 現在の知見から確度の高い予測は難しいという記述は「手法は無い」と同義です.立証されるまで無いものとして扱うのが科学の基本的なルールなので,できるという知見の無い現状は手法が無い状態だからです https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq24.html https://gijika.com/rate/dict/dictSa19.html 大気重力波は空振りを考慮せず間違った評価をしています.「空振りの数=どの程度外しているか」は予測の妥当性を評価する際の重要な指標です https://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf 下記のように広範囲の言及を毎日のように繰り返せば見逃しは少なくなるので30回の偶然は当たり前ですが,空振りが非常に多くなり意味がありません.物理的因果も不明です https://x.com/kirinjisinken/status/1801627300200648905 https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin1948/30/2/30_2_179/_article/-char/ja
Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
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All Information
- ID - 1802520507579044230
- noteId - 1802520507579044230
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1718589352874
- tweetId - 1802495519425761325
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
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- summary
- 複数の事実誤認があります 現在の知見から確度の高い予測は難しいという記述は「手法は無い」と同義です.立証されるまで無いものとして扱うのが科学の基本的なルールなので,できるという知見の無い現状は手法が無い状態だからです https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/faq/faq24.html https://gijika.com/rate/dict/dictSa19.html 大気重力波は空振りを考慮せず間違った評価をしています.「空振りの数=どの程度外しているか」は予測の妥当性を評価する際の重要な指標です https://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf 下記のように広範囲の言及を毎日のように繰り返せば見逃しは少なくなるので30回の偶然は当たり前ですが,空振りが非常に多くなり意味がありません.物理的因果も不明です https://x.com/kirinjisinken/status/1801627300200648905 https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/zisin1948/30/2/30_2_179/_article/-char/ja
Note Status History
createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
2024-06-17 01:55:52 UTC (1718589352874) |
2024-06-17 12:30:25 UTC (1718627425197) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2024-06-20 06:16:53 UTC (1718864213736) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 2024-06-17 12:30:25 UTC (1718627425197) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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