Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-11-13 14:08:07 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: D996068A3378392E73C88DE350FA4283CEC36972C47823B0C9381B014F5DE974
Participant Details
Original Note:
The only body of “economists” that 100% predicted a recession were from Bloomberg and were using a data driven model to make the false prediction Not indicated the source is Bloomberg implies that Economists as a whole, or even a majority, predicted the chances of 100% https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/forecast-for-us-recession-within-year-hits-100-in-blow-to-biden?embedded-checkout=true https://nabe.com/NABE/Surveys/Business_Conditions_Surveys/October-2022-Business-Conditions-Survey-Summary.aspx#:~:text=More%20than%20half%20(52%25),points%20from%20the%20July%20survey. https://survicate.com/blog/survey-sample-size/#:~:text=Many%20statisticians%20concur%20that%20a,it%20should%20not%20exceed%201000.
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