Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-11-05 21:47:11 UTC - SOMEWHAT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: E236A09AF4E1FB4805B76558BAE70CDAB11EC07ACA1E5FFFF7E60E5D63AA9CB4
Participant Details
Original Note:
Nate Silver's model is probabilistic: it does not predict that one candidate will win, it gives the probability that each candidate might win. Right now it says that Trump has a 50.4% chance to Harris's 49.2% of winning the Electoral College, which is very nearly a coin flip. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
All Note Details