Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-11-05 14:42:09 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 35FAB687D77918A54D94BE47BDE3FA2BA73212BD5C9914E5711E7F067BE1E052
Participant Details
Original Note:
Nate Silver's model is probabilistic: it does not predict that one candidate will win, it gives the probability that each candidate might win. Right now it says that Trump has a 50.4% chance to Harris's 49.2% of winning the Electoral College, which is very nearly a coin flip. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
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