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2024-11-05 02:11:31 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 1EFAE29FB8758164B8510E9627FE613473746D611D5A0160863103764777461F
Participant Details

Original Note:

Nate Silver's model is probabilistic: it does not predict that one candidate will win, it gives the probability that each candidate might win. Right now it says that Trump has a 50.4% chance to Harris's 49.2% of winning the Electoral College, which is very nearly a coin flip. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

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Original Tweet

All Information

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