Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-11-05 00:15:08 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 2C495D5E0A57D0DC13376D2CE75F3E840D99562F640E7737E4BEA495B7865EF6
Participant Details
Original Note:
Note is wrong. Polls attempt to capture a snapshot of the electorate by random sampling The Selzer/Des Moines Register poll is non-partisan and has shown strong results for Trump in the past. (e.g. in June this year it showed Trump +18 points ahead of Biden) https://discovery.cs.illinois.edu/learn/Polling-Confidence-Intervals-and-Hypothesis-Testing/Polling-and-Sampling/ https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/06/17/2024-election-donald-trump-vs-joe-biden-vs-robert-kennedy-jr-iowa-poll/74088665007/
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