Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-31 04:56:51 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: F8603A886C6AC5B4A6CB8E51D8B3900BB3D08CE7014183D2F596538FBC5F8B53
Participant Details
Original Note:
Early votes are not an indicator of a "decisive Republican victory" Early votes do not accurately predict the final result: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/elon-musk-early-voting-data-analysis/index.html In this election Trump has encouraged Republicans to vote early, after discouraging it in previous elections: https://apnews.com/article/early-vote-records-trump-harris-1c219d0d27d56996388f2e2be5a58fac Also see Nate Silver: https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict
All Note Details