Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-31 20:21:00 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: E9C59BF9D407450FEF10BA17B24AFE1434A4BB84743BE5228E71A081EEDAA2E5
Participant Details
Original Note:
Early votes are not an indicator of a "decisive Republican victory" Early votes do not accurately predict the final result: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/elon-musk-early-voting-data-analysis/index.html In this election Trump has encouraged Republicans to vote early, after discouraging it in previous elections: https://apnews.com/article/early-vote-records-trump-harris-1c219d0d27d56996388f2e2be5a58fac Also see Nate Silver: https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict
All Note Details