Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-10-31 00:18:16 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 8EC0303AA7A5B2C20FE35AC4596202DC260F835B6178301E72D9A75CAB98BF8A
Participant Details

Original Note:

Early votes are not an indicator of a "decisive Republican victory" Early votes do not accurately predict the final result: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/elon-musk-early-voting-data-analysis/index.html In this election Trump has encouraged Republicans to vote early, after discouraging it in previous elections: https://apnews.com/article/early-vote-records-trump-harris-1c219d0d27d56996388f2e2be5a58fac Also see Nate Silver: https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict

All Note Details

Original Tweet

All Information

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