Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-31 06:23:34 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 2D9F6D1C9EA7CA2A8C764A02C38C2A021BF058F2412E09E1C23D7752676372E6
Participant Details
Original Note:
Early votes are not an indicator of a "decisive Republican victory" Early votes do not accurately predict the final result: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/elon-musk-early-voting-data-analysis/index.html In this election Trump has encouraged Republicans to vote early, after discouraging it in previous elections: https://apnews.com/article/early-vote-records-trump-harris-1c219d0d27d56996388f2e2be5a58fac Also see Nate Silver: https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict
All Note Details