Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-18 06:47:58 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 15B2FADE117C5D1F06E70410A94E7AF00DB26C2961E5EF33D6EBEAFFB2EC4E4F
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Original Note:
The post wrongly states a "24% lead". This is: 1) Misleading, as "lead" is commonly associated to the difference in results (votes), not probabilities. https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/lead#cald4-us-2-1 2) Incorrect, as the difference between those two percentages can be 24 percentage points (or 63% more), but not 24%. https://service-manual.ons.gov.uk/content/numbers/percentages https://journalistsresource.org/home/percent-change-math-for-journalists/
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