Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-16 20:42:08 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 977378336DCD2BC514518CEB7ECF927B13BFFA9472195DBDCAAF45FEDEC9F7E2
Participant Details
Original Note:
Prediction market odds are different than polling numbers. Harris being up 2 points in national polls does not necessarily mean she is outright favored to win the election — the electoral college bias for 2024 is expected to work against the Democratic candidate: https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/a-brief-history-of-electoral-college-bias/
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