Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-17 16:24:59 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: FF0F0B046B487966508412F1A1BC6259112FD320E76CEE390B99B636E505AF2F
Participant Details
Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. Prediction markets vary in accuracy depending on their methods. Actual polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Donald Trump https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://daily.jstor.org/how-accurate-are-prediction-markets/
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