Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-22 18:01:46 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: CE7AD0C082C557F9BEE9B8076D9C7BCDCD5F725BF81EAEA33873A7239580A290
Participant Details
Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. Prediction markets vary in accuracy depending on their methods. Actual polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Donald Trump https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://daily.jstor.org/how-accurate-are-prediction-markets/
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