Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-11 15:19:04 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: AA48E051CD66933A2A25EBD6E1768A22EF4509DE85F79CEE612382C410648A96
Participant Details
Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. Prediction markets vary in accuracy depending on their methods. Actual polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Donald Trump https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://daily.jstor.org/how-accurate-are-prediction-markets/
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