Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-17 22:54:51 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 6FA1AEC9F87109E749465B6B5800B47E9E809192B2633F43D7C3C6E9C616E73C
Participant Details
Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. Prediction markets vary in accuracy depending on their methods. Actual polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Donald Trump https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://daily.jstor.org/how-accurate-are-prediction-markets/
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