Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-10 20:29:33 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: D34DFE7EB6C962F7DC97F83FB6F50B270F405DFDA995DE6EEC45F35D1C9193D9
Participant Details
Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. Prediction markets vary in accuracy depending on their methods. Actual polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Donald Trump https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://daily.jstor.org/how-accurate-are-prediction-markets/
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