Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-12 21:24:05 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 20F6BE857CF9CAE62E788B3F0052B0099C8A47E52F8822A65EBCA3E611F0BF9C
Participant Details
Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website, easily subjected to manipulation from large bets: https://protos.com/did-a-polymarket-trader-rig-election-odds-for-a-side-bet/ https://x.com/SwannMarcus89/status/1843382352766189575 https://rajivsethi.substack.com/p/a-failed-attempt-at-prediction-market https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/06/very-interesting-failed-attempt-at-manipulation-on-polymarket-today/ Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Trump: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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