Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-07 21:13:45 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 851C65EE65441529658B3FCB290F6141F3451CC8E968E53AB289B74E400FC5DE
Participant Details
Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. Prediction markets vary in accuracy depending on their methods. Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris 48.5% vs. Trump 45.9% https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-24/trump-harris-2024-election-polymarket-handles-soaring-bet-volumes
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