Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-07 21:11:45 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 6CAB13492C1290422A1C7B325BE054729F9D1B33F543AB36432BA05525973556
Participant Details
Original Note:
Context: Polymarket is a crypto betting website with it's own prediction methods outside of polling. Prediction markets vary in accuracy depending on their methods. Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris 48.5% vs. Trump 45.9% https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-24/trump-harris-2024-election-polymarket-handles-soaring-bet-volumes
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