Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-10-11 13:38:00 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: A70F13DB8F13F12B2C780E1FF11E204A0E459AE0818CC6CACFB97B1A1DDAC46F
Participant Details

Original Note:

Misleading. The depicted Silver Bulletin Electoral College Win probabilities of Trump (68.4%) and Harris (30.8%) are false. As of 3rd Oct 2024, the Silver Bulletin probability for a Harris EC Win is 57%, which also implies that the probability of a Trump Win won't exceed 43%. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

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All Information

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  • agree - 0
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  • helpfulnessLevel - NOT_HELPFUL
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