Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-04 19:07:11 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 59469B689780864C5379FE3A23EEB7617942AF17BA63DA7015F9D15C9B60DBF2
Participant Details
Original Note:
Misleading. The depicted Silver Bulletin Electoral College Win probabilities of Trump (68.4%) and Harris (30.8%) are false. As of 3rd Oct 2024, the Silver Bulletin probability for a Harris EC Win is 57%, which also implies that the probability of a Trump Win won't exceed 43%. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
All Note Details