Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-10-11 01:09:24 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 3D704A86D481B4C764C4091B936EAA5007E9AA32387C7827989D397417E5A3CB
Participant Details

Original Note:

Misleading. The depicted Silver Bulletin Electoral College Win probabilities of Trump (68.4%) and Harris (30.8%) are false. As of 3rd Oct 2024, the Silver Bulletin probability for a Harris EC Win is 57%, which also implies that the probability of a Trump Win won't exceed 43%. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

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Original Tweet

All Information

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  • agree - 0
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  • helpfulnessLevel - NOT_HELPFUL
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