Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-04 17:08:05 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 338A3A1BA4A35666DB42F9F24766CDC4AFBBF57144A752F71BFBC5EAA339A3BC
Participant Details
Original Note:
Misleading. The depicted Silver Bulletin Electoral College Win probabilities of Trump (68.4%) and Harris (30.8%) are false. As of 3rd Oct 2024, the Silver Bulletin probability for a Harris EC Win is 57%, which also implies that the probability of a Trump Win won't exceed 43%. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
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