Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-10-12 00:35:51 UTC - HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 30603F187D66CA812C94BD472F3FB0625D043A5363F930F87E3D8B31FD18C80B
Participant Details

Original Note:

Misleading. The depicted Silver Bulletin Electoral College Win probabilities of Trump (68.4%) and Harris (30.8%) are false. As of 3rd Oct 2024, the Silver Bulletin probability for a Harris EC Win is 57%, which also implies that the probability of a Trump Win won't exceed 43%. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

All Note Details

Original Tweet

All Information

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  • version - 2
  • agree - 0
  • disagree - 0
  • helpful - 0
  • notHelpful - 0
  • helpfulnessLevel - HELPFUL
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  • helpfulGoodSources - 1
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  • helpfulAddressesClaim - 1
  • helpfulImportantContext - 1
  • helpfulUnbiasedLanguage - 1
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  • notHelpfulOpinionSpeculationOrBias - 0
  • notHelpfulMissingKeyPoints - 0
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  • notHelpfulArgumentativeOrBiased - 0
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