Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-10-04 21:23:44 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 2C8E477BF717BCAC95905FABCF7F5A4875FB88C91A9F4F94333084AAA15A1E47
Participant Details

Original Note:

Misleading. The depicted Silver Bulletin Electoral College Win probabilities of Trump (68.4%) and Harris (30.8%) are false. As of 3rd Oct 2024, the Silver Bulletin probability for a Harris EC Win is 57%, which also implies that the probability of a Trump Win won't exceed 43%. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

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All Information

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  • helpfulnessLevel - NOT_HELPFUL
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