Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-06-03 14:42:56 UTC - HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 22F149AE0AB24E887FD1A9D870D34A4E9FA8E98F0A96FA98832F90C9E5991723
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Original Note:

単なる前後即因果の誤謬です 巨大地震に先行して電離層に変化があることは確認されているものの,同程度の変化は地震とは関係のない要因で頻繁に発生しており,変動を見て警報を出してもほぼ全て外れることがわかっています https://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/sympo/kicho1.pdf 中規模程度の地震に対しても有意な関連はありません https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JA023652

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