Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-10 04:31:36 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: F829060B6A60770CF234412E5A1AC5D1AE0EC5DDF0819B75040569CE6D44A05C
Participant Details
Original Note:
Daniel's math is not correct. The chance of pregnancy gets larger not smaller with each attempt. If there is a 20% chance of conception on each attempt, the chance of conception after six times is 1−(1-0.20)^6 or 73.8%. https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/1236513/probability-something-with-a-small-chance-of-occurring-but-is-repeated-multip#:~:text=If%20we%20repeat%20the%20event,(1%E2%88%92p)n.
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