Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-09 15:24:05 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 3B54FFCA618211907D83A0E334193286FCBAEA6FC3162E5A95A9F72623BCB81B
Participant Details
Original Note:
Daniel's math is not correct. The chance of pregnancy gets larger not smaller with each attempt. If there is a 20% chance of conception on each attempt, the chance of conception after six times is 1−(1-0.20)^6 or 73.8%. https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/1236513/probability-something-with-a-small-chance-of-occurring-but-is-repeated-multip#:~:text=If%20we%20repeat%20the%20event,(1%E2%88%92p)n.
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