Birdwatch Note Rating
2023-04-14 14:50:09 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 648BE6EE6413CB1DE7ED8A8A5637E417455500360B820CE820E3A4FD4EC19130
Participant Details
Original Note:
Benadini never demonstrated statistical proof of his results, and a 2015 reanalysis of his methods found that (like all earthquake predictions thus far) they perform no better than background probability. https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2015EGUGA..17..155B/abstract Fact-checks of user's claims about earthquakes: https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/05/28/massive-california-earthquake-predicted-for-today/ https://slate.com/technology/2015/05/planetary-alignment-no-it-won-t-cause-an-earthquake.html https://gizmodo.com/will-a-planetary-alignment-cause-a-9-8-earthquake-this-1706933982 https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2018/01/man-s-huge-quake-prediction-is-fearmongering-geonet.html https://twitter.com/bwcphd/status/1633897308499902464 https://twitter.com/PierreSeismo/status/1634593771731189760 https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.11802
All Note Details