Birdwatch Note Rating
2022-11-24 01:04:30 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: A167100D0588DADC3C13B818017914383D206715AF5A5BD03ED05B4202A10003
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Original Note:
This tweet illustrates the base rate fallacy. This exact comparison has become so common that it was chosen as the first figure on Wikipedia. Ex: In a 99% vaccinated population, a car crash is more likely to contain two vaccinated persons, because the sample size is larger. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy
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