Birdwatch Note Rating
2022-11-26 05:40:50 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 34E11305D5D0BAC21289D356187C5DDBA96A3AA848A3A134463601C663FEC86E
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Original Note:
This tweet illustrates the base rate fallacy. This exact comparison has become so common that it was chosen as the first figure on Wikipedia. Ex: In a 99% vaccinated population, a car crash is more likely to contain two vaccinated persons, because the sample size is larger. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy
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